New poll shows Trump behind Clinton

Before you go, we thought you'd like these...
Trump's Running Out of Time to Garner More Support

Two new national polls are out and both lend more evidence to the theory that Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump is becoming the norm.

In a four-way race between Clinton, Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, both Pew Research and Rasmussen Reports found the former secretary of state wins out with 41 percent of voters supporting her and Trump garnering 37 and 39 percent, respectively.

SEE MORE: Could Republicans Still Dump Trump? Sure, But It'd Be A Hot Mess

These aren't all that different from what we've seen lately. Trump's having a rough stretch both nationally and in key battleground states like Florida, Pennsylvania and the Republican must-win, Ohio.

And this is bad news for Trump because, historically, every nominee winning at this point in the process since polling was invented has gone on to, at the very least, win the popular vote. An expert put it this way to Politico, "When you come out of the conventions, the leader in the last 16 elections has not lost the popular vote."

That's for a couple of key reasons. The first makes the most sense: The closer you get to the election, the more people begin to pay attention and start cementing their decision for November.

That then causes the second reason, which is that the post-convention bump nominees usually enjoy goes away and we get a better sense of what the electorate is thinking. Now, it's not impossible for Trump to turn it around, but based on his past behavior and insistence that he's not changing, getting new voters is going to be difficult. But throw in the fact that Clinton is also having a trustworthy deficit in polls, and 2016 could be ripe to change the historical polling trend.

The best way for Trump to diversify his support is to kick serious ass in the presidential debates over the next couple of months. But it's not clear, at this point, if he's even going to participate.

RELATED: Politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump

8 PHOTOS
Politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump
See Gallery
Politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump
ABC NEWS - 7/20/16 - Coverage of the 2016 Republican National Convention from the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio, which airs on all ABC News programs and platforms. (Photo by Ida Mae Astute/ABC via Getty Images) SEN. TED CRUZ
Former Republican U.S. presidential nominee Mitt Romney speaks critically about current Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and the state of the 2016 Republican presidential campaign during a speech at the Hinckley Institute of Politics at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, Utah March 3, 2016. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart
Former President George W. Bush campaigns for his brother Republican presidential candidate, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush Monday, Feb. 15, 2016, in North Charleston, S.C. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida and 2016 Republican presidential candidate, listens to an audience question during a town hall event hosted by CNN at the University of South Carolina in Columbia, South Carolina, U.S., on Wednesday, Feb. 17, 2016. Donald Trump remains the front-runner in South Carolina, where Republican voters head to the polls on Saturday. According to a survey released Monday by Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling, Trump holds a 17-point lead over Senators Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz, who are tied for second place. Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images
ROCKVILLE, MD - APRIL 25: Republican presidential candidate and Ohio Governor John Kasich speaks during a campaign event April 25, 2016 in Rockville, Maryland. Governor Kasich continued to seek for his party's nomination for the general election. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 10: Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) speaks with reporters before a weekly policy meeting with Senate Republicans, at the U.S. Capitol, May 10, 2016, in Washington, DC. Presidential candidate Donald Trump is scheduled meet with Republican House and Senate leadership on Thursday. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
CNBC EVENTS -- The Republican Presidential Debate: Your Money, Your Vote -- Pictured: George Pataki participates in CNBC's 'Your Money, Your Vote: The Republican Presidential Debate' live from the University of Colorado Boulder in Boulder, Colorado Wednesday, October 28th at 6PM ET / 8PM ET -- (Photo by: David A. Grogan/CNBC/NBCU Photo Bank via Getty Images)
Former U.S. President George H. W. Bush smiles while wearing a pink shirt to raise breast cancer awareness on the sidelines of the Houston Texans versus New York Giants NFL football game in Houston October 10, 2010. REUTERS/Richard Carson (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)
of
SEE ALL
BACK TO SLIDE
SHOW CAPTION +
HIDE CAPTION

Read Full Story

People are Reading