Even if Trump wins these 5 swing states, he'll still lose

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Even If Trump Wins These 5 Swing States, He'll Still Lose

Winning the general election in November is all about math because it's all about getting 270 electoral votes.

The Cook Political Report released a new electoral college map that projects how electoral votes will be cast based on which way the 50 states are currently leaning.

SEE MORE: What Happens If No Presidential Candidate Wins 270 Electoral Votes?

Based on its analysis, there are 21 states solidly, likely or leaning Democrat and 22 states solidly, likely or leaning Republican.

Click through politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump:

Politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump
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Politicians who refuse to support Donald Trump

Mitt Romney has been critical of Trump's rhetoric. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart

Senator John Thune (R-SD) addresses delegates during the third session of the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida, August 29, 2012. REUTERS/Mike Segar (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS ELECTIONS)
Republican U.S. Sen. Mike Lee speaks during the Utah Solutions Summit Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, in Salt Lake City. Donald Trump's running mate Mike Pence is scheduled to make his first visit to Utah on Thursday since becoming a vice presidential candidate, and the Indiana governor is expected to use the visit to help bolster support for the Republican nominee. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)

Former U.S. President George H. W. Bush has not endorsed Trump, and insiders revealed in September he plans to vote for Hillary Clinton.


Former President George W. Bush campaigned for his brother Republican presidential candidate, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush Monday, during the primary, and has taken what many think were subtle digs at Trump. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida and 2016 Republican presidential candidate, was one of Donald Trump's primary targets during the primary season. 

Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Former Republican presidential candidate and Ohio Governor John Kasich stayed in the primary longer than most other candidates, and notably refused to appear at the GOP convention in the same arena with Trump, attending other events instead. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), a close friend to Sen. John McCain, has been a vocal critic of Trump's. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
UPDATE: Although he didn't endorse Trump during the 2016 convention, Ted Cruz eventually changed his mind, saying in September he'd vote for the GOP nominee (Photo by Ida Mae Astute/ABC via Getty Images) 
Pictured: George Pataki participates in CNBC's 'Your Money, Your Vote: The Republican Presidential Debate' live from the University of Colorado Boulder in Boulder, Colorado Wednesday, October 28th at 6PM ET / 8PM ET -- (Photo by: David A. Grogan/CNBC/NBCU Photo Bank via Getty Images)
In this June 9, 2014, file photo, U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk R-Ill., speaks in his office in Chicago. In his fight to keep his Senate seat, Kirk has repeatedly criticized opponent Democratic U.S. Rep. Tammy Duckworth's service as director of the Illinois Department of Veterans Affairs. His latest attacks come in two new campaign ads. But the ads leave out important facts and context. (AP Photo/M. Spencer Green, File)
U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) addresses the second session of the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida August 28, 2012. REUTERS/Mike Segar (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS ELECTIONS)

It leaves five states as toss ups — Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio. Adding in some split votes from Maine and Nebraska, the report puts a total of 76 electoral votes up for grabs.

The hypothetical map would give Hillary Clinton 272 electoral votes and Donald Trump 190, meaning even if Trump wins all the toss up votes, he'll still lose the election.

Part of Trump's uphill battle comes down to the numbers. California and New York and their 84 electoral votes are solidly Democratic, and both states have voted blue in the past six presidential elections. The only big-number state that's solidly Republican is Texas and its 38 votes.

But there's no shortage of folks, experts or not, trying to predict the outcome of the November election.

SEE MORE: Donald Trump Says The RNC Was A Huge Success; The Polls Don't Agree

Filmmaker Michael Moore claims if Trump can win Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — four states he deems traditionally Democratic — he'll win the election.

The Washington Post analysis says if Clinton can win Florida and all the states it deems traditionally Democratic, she'll win.

And USA Today says a Trump win hinges on him winning Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

But all these hypothetical maps are likely based on polls, and polls are taken from a sample of potential voters. So we won't really know who will win until Nov. 8.

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