Nate Silver's model says North Carolina is a strong favorite to win the NCAA Tournament

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North Carolina Takes Down Notre Dame, Advances to Final Four

The Final Four is set.

North Carolina, Oklahoma, Syracuse, and Villanova survived another wacky tournament and will compete for the college basketball championship in Houston.

SEE ALSO: North Carolina races to another Final Four, beats Notre Dame

With just three games to go, North Carolina is the heavy favorite to win it all, according to Nate Silver's model at

Here are the odds for each of the four teams to win the championship based on thousands of simulations of the Final Four:

  1. North Carolina, 38%
  2. Villanova, 28%
  3. Oklahoma, 22%
  4. Syracuse, 11%

Of course, like many of these models, this doesn't mean that Silver is predicting North Carolina to win and it doesn't even mean UNC is likely to win. In fact, there is a 62% chance that the Tar Heels will not win the championship.

SEE MORE: Buy tickets to the Final Four!

One of the things going for North Carolina is that they are deemed to have the easier semifinal matchup, against 10th-seeded Syracuse, and are less likely to be upset in the Final Four.

RELATED GALLERY: See photos of the highest paid NCAA basketball coaches

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Nate Silver's model says North Carolina is a strong favorite to win the NCAA Tournament

25. Mike Anderson, Arkansas: $2,239,588

(Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

24. Rick Barnes, Tennessee: $2,250,000

(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

23. Mark Turgeon, Maryland: $2,252,488

(Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

22. Matt Painter, Purdue: $2,428,795

(Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

21. Jamie Dixon, Pittsburgh: $2,445,682

(Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

20. John Beilein, Michigan: $2,498,242

(Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

19. Scott Drew, Baylor: $2,508,015

(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

18. Travis Ford, Oklahoma St: $2,625,000

(Paul Moseley/Fort Worth Star-Telegram/TNS via Getty Images)

17. Steve Alford, UCLA: $2,630,000

(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

16. Josh Pastner, Memphis: $2,650,000

(Photo by Joe Murphy/Getty Images)

15. Lon Kruger, Oklahoma: $2,750,000

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)

14. Jay Wright, Villanova: $2,775,846

(Photo by Chris Covatta/Getty Images)

(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

13. Kevin Ollie, Connecticut: $2,800,000

(Brad Horrigan/Hartford Courant/TNS via Getty Images)

12. Shaka Smart, Texas: $2,800,000

(Photo by Chris Covatta/Getty Images)

11. John Thompson III, Georgetown: $2,838,271

(Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)

10. Tom Crean, Indiana: $3,046,250

(Photo by Matthew Holst/Getty Images)

9. Bob Huggins, West Virginia: $3,265,000

(Photo by Chris Covatta/Getty Images)

8. Gregg Marshall, Wichita State: $3,300,000

(Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images)

7. Thad Matta, Ohio St: $3,372,000

(Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)

6. Sean Miller, Arizona: $3,484,500 

(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

5. Tom Izzo, Michigan St: $4,006,955

(Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

4. Bill Self, Kansas: $4,955,186

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)

3. Rick Pitino, Louisville: $6,004,529

(Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

2. Mike Krzyzewski, Duke: $6,043,979

(Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

1. John Calipari, Kentucky: $6,356,756

(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)


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