December warmth sends temperatures up to 30 degrees above average

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Shorts Weather In December?


A very mild weather pattern for early-December standards has engulfed a large swath of the Lower 48 states. Temperatures will soar up to 30 degrees above early-December averages through this weekend as the mild air spreads from the western and central states to the East Coast.

For some locations, the low temperatures this week will be as warm or even warmer than the average high for this time of year. In addition, some record highs and record warm low temperatures could be set through the week ahead.

See recent winter weather so far this season:

74 PHOTOS
Snow, winter weather 2015-2016 season across the U.S.
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December warmth sends temperatures up to 30 degrees above average
Snow falls on a person as they wait for a bus in downtown Pittsburgh, Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
Two women run through a snow flurry Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
A bus window is covered by snow and ice, Sunday, Feb. 14, 2016, in Evanston, Ill. Snow has now overspread nearly all of the Chicago Metro area early Sunday afternoon and is expected to continue into the night before ending. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
A girl uses a campaign sign for Chris Christie to help her parents clear snow from their car after attending a campaign stop by the Republican presidential candidate, Friday, Feb. 5, 2016, in Dover, N.H. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
Jeremy Kincaid clears a sidewalk with a snowblower after a snow storm Friday, Feb. 5, 2016, in Derry, N.H. The storm was New Englandâs biggest snowstorm so far this season, coming two weeks after a massive blizzard engulfed much of the Eastern Seaboard but largely spared Boston and points north. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
A pedestrian walks past a grove of snow-covered trees Friday, Feb. 5, 2016, in Marlborough, Mass. What started off as rain Friday morning quickly turned to sticky, heavy snow. Many school districts in the region closed for the day, including in some in Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Rhode Island. (AP Photo/Bill Sikes)
A pedestrian passes in front of an American flag as snow falls in Manchester, N.H., Friday, Feb. 5, 2016. Stoic New Englanders doggedly went about their business Friday as a winter storm that could drop close to a foot of snow in some areas struck the region. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Dave Chiokadze, left, and James Radcliffe, volunteers for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, walk through the snow knocking on doors in search of Trump supporters Friday, Feb. 5, 2016, in Londonderry, N.H. The twenty-two year olds, both from out-of-state whoâve never been involved in politics, are on the front lines of Trumpâs ground war in New Hampshire, where the billionaire businessman is under intense pressure to win big. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
Althea LeBlanc, 9, jumps off a snow bank after a snow storm Friday, Feb. 5, 2016, in Derry, N.H. The storm was New Englandâs biggest snowstorm so far this season, coming two weeks after a massive blizzard engulfed much of the Eastern Seaboard but largely spared Boston and points north. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
Snow falls on a couple as they cross Penn Ave. in downtown Pittsburgh, Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
Charlie Anderson, 13, rests while clearing snow outside his home in Towson, Md., Monday, Jan. 25, 2016. East Coast residents continued to dig themselves out after a massive weekend snowstorm. (AP Photo/Steve Ruark)
Street lights are illuminated as a jogger runs around Lake Harriet, Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2016 in Minneapolis a heavy snow storm. Parts of the Midwest including southern Minnesota experienced blizzard conditions. (AP Photo/Jim Mone)
Sharee Sanderson, left, sleds down a hill with her daughter Calli Sanderson in Flagstaff, Ariz., Monday, Feb. 1, 2016. A winter storm dropped snow across Arizona on Monday, from the state's high country down to the desert region bordering Mexico. (AP Photo/Josh Biggs)
Grace McGuire of Washington shovels out her car in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016, as the nation's capital digs out following a monster weekend snow. East Coast cities hit hard by a massive snowstorm are getting closer to their normal routines after more than three days with life at a virtual standstill. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
Students on the campus of Northern Arizona University navigate through blustery weather in Flagstaff, Ariz., Monday, Feb. 1, 2016. A winter storm dropped snow on the region, closing schools and making travel difficult. (AP Photo/Josh Biggs)
A snowplow clears snow off of Interstate 80 near Earlham, Iowa, Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2016. A winter storm that dumped heavy snow on Denver and much of Colorado has moved east into Nebraska and Iowa. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)
Rob Bitz rests on his bicycle in the snow along a street Sunday, Jan.17, 2016, in Trenton, N.J. (AP Photo/Mel Evans)
Flagstaff resident Ruth Tilman sweeps off her car after a storm in Flagstaff, Ariz. on Thursday, Jan. 7, 2016. A series of El Nino-related storms dumped heavy snow on the region. (AP Photo/Josh Biggs)
An attendee arrives in the snow for a Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump campaign stop, Saturday, Jan. 16, 2016, in Portsmouth, N.H. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Michaela Witt sleds down a hill into Pasley Park on Monday, Dec. 28, 2015, in Sioux Falls, S.D. A major winter storm impacting the central U.S. could bring several inches of snow to southeastern South Dakota. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
Peter Best and Mackenzie Kuhl hold hands while walking across the Stone Arch Bridge, Monday, Dec. 28, 2015, in Minneapolis. A winter storm is expected to dump up to a foot of snow in south-central Minnesota before it tracks north and east. (Jeff Wheeler/Star Tribune via AP)
Judith Fourzan takes a walk around Memorial Park in El Paso, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015. A heavy snowfall created a winter playground for El Pasoans after several inches remained from an overnight storm. (Mark Lambie/The El Paso Times via AP) 
A jogger makes his way along a snow-covered street in the Hudson Park neighborhood, Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2015, in Albany, N.Y. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and gusty winds are creating treacherous driving conditions across upstate New York as eastern parts of the state receive their first severe weather of the winter season. The National Weather Service says 1 to 4 inches has fallen from the Albany area northwest to the Mohawk Valley and north to the southern Adirondacks. The weather service has posted winter weather advisories for all of New York on Tuesday. (AP Photo/Mike Groll)
Barb Grams of Bremerton, Wash., looks up at the snowflakes coming down after getting out of church in Silverdale, Wash., Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015. (Larry Steagall/Kitsap Sun via AP) 
A Iowa DOT plow clears snow to widen the path along Highway 63, Monday, Dec. 28, 2015, in Waterloo, Iowa. (Matthew Putney/Waterloo Courier via AP)
Children sled in Spellerberg Park, Monday, Dec. 28, 2015, Sioux Falls, S.D. A major winter storm impacting the central U.S. could bring several inches of snow to southeastern South Dakota. (Jay Pickthorn/The Argus Leader via AP) 
Briana Betancis, 14, and Deziree Dominguez, 12, fly down a hill at Memorial Park in El Paso, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015. A heavy snowfall created a winter playground for El Pasoans after several inches remained from an overnight storm. (Mark Lambie/The El Paso Times via AP) 
Miles Overstreet throws snowballs to his dog Ferris as they play at Madeline Park in the Kern Place neighborhood of El Paso, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 27, 2015. A heavy snowfall created a winter playground for El Pasoans after several inches remained from an overnight storm. (Mark Lambie/The El Paso Times via AP)
Wayne and Linda VanBerkun snowshoe near their home in southeastern Sioux Falls, S.D., Monday, Dec. 28, 2015. A major winter storm impacting the central U.S. could bring several inches of snow to southeastern South Dakota. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
Eastbound motorists on the Beltline highway in Madison, Wis. trail a snow plow working to clear the roadway Monday, Dec. 28, 2015.The storm system that spawned weekend twisters in North Texas brought winter storm woes to the Midwest on Monday and amplified flooding that's blamed for more than a dozen deaths. (AP Photo/John Hart, Wisconsin State Journal)
LUBBOCK, TEXAS - DECEMBER 27: A highway worker tries to shield himself while walking to his truck on December 27, 2015 in Lubbock, Texas. Coming on the heels of several strong tornadoes, some northern parts of Texas are experiencing blizzard conditions with wind gusts up to 50 mph and as much as 13 inches of snow forecast. (Photo by John Weast/Getty Images)
A man's umbrella blows inside out as he walks along downtown Salt Lake City Monday, Dec. 14, 2015. The first major winter storm of the season dumped up to a foot of snow in some parts of the Salt Lake City metro area, snarling traffic on morning commutes to work and school. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
NEDERLAND, CO - DECEMBER 15: Steve Hauser plows snow in the Caribou Shopping Center in Nederland, Colorado on December 15, 2015. Snow is expected to continue throughout the day. (Photo by Helen H. Richardson/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
An unidentified motorist clears snow off his four-wheel-drive vehicle in high winds early Tuesday, Dec.15, 2015, in Denver. Forecasters predict that four to 10 inches of snow will blanket Colorado's eastern plains before the storm, which started Monday in the intermountain West, moves to the east. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
NEDERLAND, CO - DECEMBER 15: A yellow lab waits patiently in his owner's snowy old truck along East 1st Street in Nederland, Colorado on December 15, 2015. Snow is expected to continue throughout the day. The dog looked warm and didn't wait long in the car as his owner returned shortly after an errand in the town. (Photo by Helen H. Richardson/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
Motorists are stacked up in a line of vehicles slowed to a crawl along Logan Street by high winds driving granular snow into drifts early Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015, in Denver. The biggest winter storm to hit the Denver area so far this season is making the morning commute a mess, causing many spinouts and crashes in the slippery snow and delaying flights by an average of about an hour and a-half at Denver International Airport. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
DENVER, CO - DEC. 15: Anna Renton, 7, right, relaxes while neighbor Graham Langner, 7, has a snow fight with his nanny, Ashely Kish.The Denver metro area received more snow than expected overnight, closing schools across the city with some areas measuring a foot of snow by the early morning. (Photo by Kathryn Scott Osler/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
John Malsbary, front right, joins forces with Joe Gray, back right, to push a sedan driven by Rebecca Conway out of a curbside spot where the vehicle was stuck early Tuesday, Dec.15, 2015, in Denver. Forecasters predict that four to 10 inches of snow will blanket Colorado's eastern plains before the storm, which started Monday in the intermountain West, moves to the east. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
LAKEWOOD, CO - DECEMBER 15: Crut Liles clears snow from his walkways outside his home in Lakewood, December, 15, 2015. Many schools in the area are closed due to the snow storm. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
DENVER, CO - DEC. 15: A CDOT crew runs their plow truck southbound on Colorado Blvd. near E. 13th Ave. in Denver. The Denver metro area received more snow than expected overnight, closing schools across the city with some areas measuring a foot of snow by the early morning. (Photo by Kathryn Scott Osler/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
Six year old Caroline Randolph plays in imitation snow falling from a storefront in Northport, Ala., as she enjoys the Dickens Downtown celebration Tuesday, Dec. 1, 2015. Rain and thunderstorms, rather than snow, dampened the holiday festival. (Gary Cosby Jr./The Tuscaloosa News via AP) 
Missy Thomas dumps a shovel full of snow in front of her niece and nephew Alora, 3, and Daine Thomas, 2, as they try to bury a small pumpkin in a mound of snow while their aunt clears her driveway Tuesday, Dec. 1, 2015, in Bismarck, N.D. (Mike McCleary/The Bismarck Tribune via AP)
A pedestrian crosses North Seventh Street in Bismarck early Tuesday morning as the first snowfall of the winter season passed through North Dakota leaving several inches of wet heavy snow across the state. (Tom Stromme/Tribune via AP)
Plows clean up a street after the area received heavy snow in Sioux Falls, S.D. on Tuesday, Dec. 1, 2015. A record-breaking snowstorm lingering over the northern Plains on Tuesday caused slippery roads, but brought much-needed moisture to the region. (Jay Pickthorn/The Argus Leader via AP)
Tom O'Hara snowplows on the sidewalk with his dog, Smokey, by his side after the area received heavy snow in Sioux Falls, S.D. on Tuesday, Dec. 1, 2015. A record-breaking snowstorm lingering over the northern Plains on Tuesday caused slippery roads, but brought much-needed moisture to the region. (Jay Pickthorn/The Argus Leader via AP)

Julie McCabe, of Boulder, carries her dog "Scout" in the snow on Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015, in Boulder, Colo. (Jeremy Papasso/Daily Camera via AP)

Enric Sabadell, of Boulder, scrapes the ice off his windshield before heading to a friends house for Thanksgiving dinner, Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015 in Boulder, Colo. (Jeremy Papasso/Daily Camera via AP)
Al Frelk walks his dog, Shiba, 10, in Lords Park in Elgin, Ill., on Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015. Asked about the snow, Frelk said, 'It's beautiful, but can be tough to drive in. Though Shiba has been waiting 9 months for this.' The first winter storm of the season dropped more than 10 inches of snow at numerous Chicagoland locations. (Stacey Wescott/Chicago Tribune/TNS via Getty Images)
People walk about as first snow of the year falls, Friday, Nov. 20, 2015 in Des Moines, Iowa. The National Weather Service says heavy snowfall was expected Friday afternoon into early Saturday in parts of northwest and north central Iowa. Meteorologist Kevin Skow says the heaviest snow ban is expected to fall from Sioux Falls, South Dakota, down to Dubuque. (Brian Powers/The Des Moines Register via AP)
Hope Peterson, 22, and Alex Cutler, 24, both of Sioux Falls, shovel the sidewalk in front of Cutler's parents' house during the first snow of the season Friday, Nov. 20, 2015, in Sioux Falls, S.D. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
Ground crew throws snowmelt to the snow covered seats before an NFL football game between the Chicago Bears and the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Nov. 22, 2015, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
A woman cleans snow from her car on Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Northbrook, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Harvey Wollman, of Sioux Falls, uses a snow blower to clear the sidewalk near his house during the first snow of the season Friday, Nov. 20, 2015, in Sioux Falls, S.D. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
A car moves slowly on the road during a snowstorm, Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Northbrook, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Cars are covered by snow in rental car parking lot at O'Hare International Airport, Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Chicago. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
A woman walks on the street during a snowstorm, Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Northbrook, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Bridger Wagner, 3, plays in the snow in front of his house during the first snow of the season Friday, Nov. 20, 2015, in Sioux Falls, S.D. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
Fans wait in the snow covered seats before an NFL football game between the Chicago Bears and the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Nov. 22, 2015, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
A security personnel waits in the snow covered stands before an NFL football game between the Chicago Bears and the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Nov. 22, 2015, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Brittany Tappen stands next to her vehicle, one of several that were stranded by ice and snow on the northbound off ramp from I-25 to Baptist Road during the morning commute north of Colorado Springs, Colo., Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015. The storm system that dropped a foot of snow in the Rockies was making travel hazardous as it headed east on Wednesday, menacing the Plains with heavy snow and threatening turbulent weather, even tornadoes, in parts of the Midwest. (Mark Reis/The Gazette via AP) 
Snow is plowed from the street during a heavy snowy day on Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Northbrook, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Jim Paulson, of Sioux Falls, shovels part of his driveway before using the snow blower to clear the rest during the first snow of the season Friday, Nov. 20, 2015, in Sioux Falls. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
DENVER, CO - NOVEMBER 17: Snow hit the Denver metro area having an impact on air travel at Denver International Airport. They were clearing out from the snow on Tuesday, November 17, 2015. Raul Hernandez shovels snow in the economy lot. Hernandez and his crew had worked all night to clear snow. (Photo by Cyrus McCrimmon/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
A woman walks her dog in fresh snow at Chautauqua Park, in Boulder, Colo., Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015. An overnight storm dropped more snow in the mountains of Colorado, but left only a few inches in the Denver area. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley)
Vehicles move slowly on the road as snow falls Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Wheeling, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
LAKEWOOD, CO - NOVEMBER 11: Brandon Nelli, a student at Colorado Christian University in Lakewood, shovels snow during a Veteran's Day snow storm the moved into the area overnight, November, 11, 2015. Lakewood got almost 3 inches in some areas form the storm. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
Summer Wagner, of Sioux Falls, shovels snow from her driveway during the first snow of the season Friday, Nov. 20, 2015, in Sioux Falls, S.D. (Joe Ahlquist/The Argus Leader via AP)
DENVER, CO - NOVEMBER 11: A blanket of white snow covers Fort Logan National Cemetery during a Veteran's Day snow storm the moved into the area overnight, November, 11, 2015. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
Curtis Hansen, left, and Jeff Malley push a motorist up the icy northbound off-ramp from I-25 to Baptist Road Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015, north of Colorado Springs, Colo. The storm system that dropped a foot of snow in the Rockies was making travel hazardous as it headed east on Wednesday, menacing the Plains with heavy snow and threatening turbulent weather, even tornadoes, in parts of the Midwest. (Mark Reis/The Gazette via AP) 
A woman runs in fresh snow at Chautauqua Park, in Boulder, Colo., Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015. An overnight winter storm dropped more snow in the mountains of Colorado, but left only a few inches in the Denver area. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley)
MONUMENT, CO. - November 17: Bob Swift clearing his driveway of a deep drift of snow in Monument, CO. November 17, 2015 Monument, CO (Photo By Joe Amon/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
A woman walks with an umbrella during a snowstorm, Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015, in Northbrook, Ill. The first significant snowstorm of the season blanketed some parts of the Midwest with more than a foot of snow and more was on the way Saturday, creating hazardous travel conditions and flight delays. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Salvador Gonzalez, left, and his 11-year-old son, Julio, build a snowman near their home as a storm, which is packing high winds and snow, blankets the plains Tuesday, Nov. 17, 2015, in Aurora, Colo. The storm has closed much of Interstate 70, Colorado's main east-west highway, because of blizzard conditions on the Eastern Plains as well as in northwest Kansas. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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Below are the forecast details.

Cold Air Stays Bottled Up North

As we start meteorological winter, which runs from Dec. 1 through Feb. 29, true arctic air remains locked up in extreme northern Canada, well to the north of the U.S. border and even well north of all the major Canadian cities.

Friday, at least 16 Canadian cities set daily record highs, particularly in Manitoba, where the city of Morden, southwest of Winnipeg, soared to 14.2 degrees Celsius (about 57.6 degrees Fahrenheit). An additional fourteen daily record highs were set in Manitoba Saturday-Sunday, including Emerson (7.1 degrees Celcius/44.8 degrees Fahrenheit on Sunday) where records date back to 1877.

Highs reached the freezing mark as far north as Thompson, Manitoba on Friday (roughly 55 degrees north latitude, about 470 miles north of Winnipeg). The average high on December 4, there, is -13.8C (7.1 degrees F). Just a bit farther northeast of there on Saturday, Gillam, Manitoba, reached the freezing mark which also was a new daily record (0.3 degrees Celcius / 32.5 degrees Fahrenheit).

In the U.S., both Marquette, Michigan (50 degrees at the NWS office in nearby Negaunee Township), and International Falls, Minnesota (45 degrees), tied their daily record highs Friday.

On Saturday, International Falls tied its record warmest low temperature for the month of December, only dipping to 36 degrees just before midnight. Then on Sunday a daily record high of 45 degrees was set. So much for the "Nation's Icebox," at least for awhile.

Portland, Oregon set a new record high of 63 degrees on Monday, as well as a record warm low temperature of 46 degrees. South Lake Tahoe, California tied their daily record high on Monday when the mercury rose to 56 degrees. Williston, North Dakota also tied the record high for Dec. 7 with a high of 49 degrees.

While December is early in the winter season, it is quite common for chunks of bitterly cold air to reach the U.S. during the first half of the month.

However, most computer model forecast guidance shows no such thing happening right into the middle of this December for the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. and Canada, as the arctic jet stream remains well to the north in Canada.

Although some colder air should reach the western and central states later this week, the airmass is projected to be fairly modified, meaning that the coldest air still remains locked up in northern Canada. The result may only be a drop to near or slightly below average in terms of temperatures.

(Forecast: Denver | San Francisco | Seattle)

Looking Ahead

There are no signs of any major blasts of cold air reaching the U.S. in the near future.


Through this week, the relative warmth is likely to continue. The most unseasonable warmth is forecast across the central U.S., but that warmth should eventually spread to the East Coast by late in the week and this weekend.

High temperatures will be 10 to 30 degrees above average in many locations across the country this week. Some daily record high temperatures may be set as well, particularly this coming weekend.

Low temperatures will be up to 35 degrees warmer than average in some locations at times this week. Some areas will see low temperatures that will be warmer than their average high temperatures.

One example is Minneapolis where the average high for mid-to-late this week is in the upper 20s. Low temperatures will only drop into the 30s this week with record warm low temperatures possible (current record is 34 on Thursday, 35 Friday and 37 on Saturday).

Low temperatures in Kansas City will likely bottom out in the 40s at times Thursday-Saturday, and the average high for this time of year is in the lower 40s.

Buffalo, New York, will see low temperatures in the middle to upper 40s Thursday-Sunday. This is several degrees above their average high this time of year which is in the upper 30s.

Thursday through Saturday morning, temperatures are not expected to drop below the freezing mark for most areas east of the Mississippi River, with the exception of parts of Maine and possibly the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.

Numerous daily record warm low temperatures will likely fall by the wayside in the eastern two-thirds of the country.

Daily record high temperatures may be most numerous from the Ohio Valley into the Southeast on Saturday, and then from the Northeast into the Southeast on Sunday.

Among the cities potentially threatening daily records on Saturday are Pittsburgh and Detroit where highs may surge into the 60s. Philadelphia (60s) and Atlanta (low 70s) could threaten daily record highs on Sunday.

Temperatures will be even more out of whack in Canada, where much of the country, except the typically cold Northwest Territories, Yukon Territory, British Columbia and Nunavut will feel temperatures well above normal through the second week of December. At times parts of central Canada could be up to 40 degrees (24 Celsius degrees) warmer than average, especially in terms of nighttime lows.

Some computer models do show some changes by this weekend. A series of frontal systems should sweep from the West into the Plains, perhaps bringing some cooler air at least to the West and parts of the central states. However, even if such a pattern develops, indications are that at least the eastern half of the country stays warmer than average out ahead of it.

Everything seems to be going to plan according to December temperature outlooks that peg much warmer than average conditions across the northern tier. At least for the first two weeks of December, conditions are closely following what is generally expected during a strong El Niño.

(MORE: One of Strongest El Niños | White Christmas in Jeopardy?)

Long-range computer models show no significant shift in the pattern for the second half of December either, although there are some signs that parts of the West and southern Plains may cool off slightly later in the month.

What Effects Will This Warmth Have?

As a result of the jet stream staying north of the U.S. frequently throughout November, parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic have remained rather mild and snowless recently. Philadelphia saw its second warmest November on record in 2015, and made it through the autumn to the start of December without a freeze for the first time since 1939.


For Buffalo, New York, it was the seventh warmest November on record. Buffalo has also yet to see accumulating snowfall this season, marking the longest the city has gone in a snow season without receiving its first measurable snow.

(MORE: Still No Snow in Buffalo)

The lack of snowfall and nights below 32 degrees means a tough start for ski resorts in parts of New England and the Appalachians. Over the Great Lakes, on the heels of record late-season ice into spring 2015, lake ice formation may be significantly delayed.

Interestingly enough, a delay in freezing of the lakes could support a later lake-effect snow season, as colder air moving over warmer lake water can lead to the development of heavy snow bands into early winter. This, however, depends on the ability of substantial moisture to coincide with sufficient cold air, something that has struggled to happen so far this season.

(PHOTOS: November 2014 Lake Effect Snow Buries South Buffalo)

It is not just the northeastern quarter of the country that has escaped the bulk of winter's fury to date.

Florida, in particular, has been on quite a stretch for above normal temperatures. In November, Naples and Fort Lauderdalerecorded their warmest November on record. For Miami and West Palm Beach, it was their second warmest November on record.

Fargo, North Dakota has reached 40 degrees or higher on 257 days so far in 2015. Dating back to 1942, the record is 261 days in 2012, but December 2015 could push them over the edge in just the next week alone.

RELATED: Speaking of warm weather, take a look back at this year's bizarre summer season

27 PHOTOS
Weird summer weather throughout U.S.
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December warmth sends temperatures up to 30 degrees above average
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Cal Fire engineer Clint Singleton looks out at a plume of smoke near Clearlake, Calif., Wednesday, Aug. 5, 2015. Thousands of firefighters battling an unruly Northern California wildfire were aided overnight by cooler temperatures and higher humidity, but the fire is still less than a quarter contained. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Corn damaged by heavy rains stands in a field in Sheridan, Ind., Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2015. The U.S. Department of Agriculture says farmers in 88 of Indiana's 92 counties are eligible for low-interest emergency loans because of heavy rains and flooding that have occurred since May 1. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
In a view from Whittier, Calif., the sun sets behind a hazy downtown Los Angeles after a week of high temperatures from the view Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2015. (AP Photo/Nick Ut)
A child plays in the sprinklers of Seward park, Monday, Aug. 17, 2015, in New York. Temperatures are expected to reach into the 90s in the New York metro area. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer) (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
Beach goers crowd at Venice Beach, Calif., Sunday, Aug. 16, 2015. The Western heat wave began Thursday and was expected to continue through Sunday. Authorities warned people not to leave small children or pets in cars, where temperatures can quickly soar. Los Angeles and other cities were keeping libraries and other facilities open late to serve as cooling shelters for those without air conditioning.(AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu)
Storm clouds build over the left field stands in Coors Field during the fifth inning of an inter league baseball game between the Seattle Mariners and the Colorado Rockies Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Debris rests on the ground after a garage was damaged by fallen tree during a severe thunderstorm in Traverse City, Mich., Sunday, Aug. 2, 2015. Authorities said gusts as high as 65 mph left thousands without power, damaged houses and left some roads impassable. (AP Photo/John Flesher)
A vehicle drives through a puddle after heavy rainfall, Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2015, in Albany, N.Y. Scattered rain and thunderstorms are expected in the region through Wednesday. (AP Photo/Mike Groll)
Firefighters walk under smoke from fires along Morgan Valley Road near Lower Lake, Calif., Friday, July 31, 2015. A series of wildfires were intensified by dry vegetation, triple-digit temperatures and gusting winds. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA, NV - AUGUST 03: The ruins of the Hannig Ice Cream Parlor are shown in the ghost town of St. Thomas on August 3, 2015 in the Lake Mead National Recreation Area, Nevada. The town was founded in 1865 by Mormon pioneers at the site where the Muddy River flowed into the Colorado River and at one point had about 500 settlers. The town was abandoned in 1938 after the construction of the Hoover Dam caused the Colorado River to rise. The area was once submerged in 60 feet of water but became entirely exposed to the air as a severe drought in the Western United States over the last 15 years has caused Lake Mead to drop to historic low levels. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
UNITED STATES - JULY 30: A severe thunderstorm passes over the U.S. Capitol on Thursday, July 30, 2015. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)
Clouds accompany hot, muggy weather over downtown Los Angeles and the Walt Disney Concert Hall, Thursday, July 30, 2015. July is wrapping up in California with more of the unusual weather that has marked the normally very dry month. Flash-flood watches are posted across the interior mountains and deserts of southern and eastern California as monsoonal moisture brings thunderstorms.(AP Photo/Nick Ut)
Motorists drive through heavy rain along Ninth Avenue, Thursday, July 30, 2015 in New York. More showers are predicted through the night, but skies are expected to clear by Friday morning. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
Two youths play in the Swann Memorial Fountain Thursday, July 30, 2015, in Philadelphia. According to the National Weather Service temperatures are expected to reach 90-degrees. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Young people cross a street during a rainstorm Thursday, July 30, 2015, in Philadelphia. According to the National Weather Service temperatures are expected to reach 90-degrees. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Walter Swinehart cools off in the Swann Memorial Fountain, Thursday, July 30, 2015, in Philadelphia. According to the National Weather Service temperatures are expected to reach 90-degrees. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
A man cools off in the water sprinklers at Sara Delano Roosevelt Park, Wednesday, July 29, 2015, in New York. The National Weather Service has issued a heat advisory for New York City through 8 p.m. Thursday. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
Clouds hang over City Hall Tuesday evening, July 28, 2015, in Commerce City, Colo. Forecasters predict continued warm weather for Colorado's Front Range communities in the week ahead. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Storm clouds build over the Rocky Mountains in Colorado as the sun sets late Friday, July 24, 2015. Forecasters predict that the cool, stormy weather of Friday will move out for daytime highs hovering in the 90s for the weekend ahead. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
In this Tuesday, July 21, 2015, photo, Wendover Mayor Mike Crawford stands along the exposed mud track on the Bonneville Salt Flats, in Utah. Crawford, who owns an auto parts shop in town, said the decision by race organizers to cancel this year’s event weeks away will be a bigger economic blow than last year, when a monsoon storm left standing water on the track on the eve of the race. Wet weather has forced the second-straight cancellation of an annual race at Utah’s world-famous Bonneville Salt Flats. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
A teenager checks his cell phone as storm clouds pass Friday, July 17, 2015, in Zionsville, Ind. Scattered storms were in the forecast for most of Friday evening. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
Storm clouds hang over Great American Ball Park before the MLB All-Star baseball game, Tuesday, July 14, 2015, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
Smoke drifting south from wildfires burning in Canada clouds the skyline Tuesday, July 7, 2015, in Denver. A smoke advisory was issued for the northeastern part of Colorado, Monday and expanded to all counties east of the Continental Divide Tuesday. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Vehicles struggle to navigate through the intersection of Eighth Avenue and Grant Street south of downtown Denver as a severe thunderstorm swept over the metropolitan area late Thursday, June 25, 2015. Forecasters have issued a severe thunderstorm warning for communities south and east of Denver for Thursday night. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 17: People enjoy a hot afternoon at the Astoria Pool in the borough of Queens on August 17, 2015 in New York City. The main pool, the biggest in New York City and administered by the New York City Department of Parks and Recreation, sees over 3,000 people on a typical summer weekday. New York city is in the middle of a heat wave, with temperatures in the high nineties and with a heat factor making it feel over 100 degrees. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
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What About Last Winter?

December 2014 was also a warmer than average month for much of the country. Despite that happening, winter took a fast turnaround in parts of the Northeast.

The pattern changed very quickly in the winter of 2014-15 with record-setting snows hitting parts of New England in January in February.

(MORE: Record New England Snowfall in 2014-15)

There are some differences between this winter and last winter, particularly with the strong El Nino currently in place.

Regardless, weather patterns are bound to change at some point, so check back regularly with weather.com for the latest information.

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