Donald Trump is still on top — but there are more clear warning signs ahead

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Trump, Fiorina Fight to Stay on Top


Donald Trump is still the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination. But there are more clear warning signs going forward for his candidacy.

A new Public Policy Polling Poll released on Tuesday found Trump at the front of the pack with 27% support among Republican primary voters.

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That's down 2 points since August, but still far ahead of his rivals. The next-closest candidate, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, garnered 17%, while Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida) climbed to third with 13% support.

Check out pictures of the GOP candidates at the first forum in New Hampshire:

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GOP candidates at first forum in New Hampshire
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Donald Trump is still on top — but there are more clear warning signs ahead
Republican presidential candidates gather on stage before a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. From left: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, former Texas Gov. Rick Perry speaks to New Hampshire Union Leader Publisher Joe McQuaid, left, after a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, businesswoman Carly Fiorina speaks alongside moderator Jack Heath during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
MANCHESTER, NH - AUGUST 3: Republican presidential candidate, Ohio Gov. John Kasich attends the Voters First Presidential Forum at Saint Anselm College August 3, 2015 in Manchester, New Hampshire. The forum was organized by the New Hampshire Union Leader newspaper and C-SPAN in response to the Fox News debate later this week that will limit the candidates to the top 10 Republicans based on nationwide polls. (Photo by Darren McCollester/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, former New York Gov. George Pataki speaks to moderator Jack Heath speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidate, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
MANCHESTER, NH - AUGUST 3: (L-R) Former CEO Hewlett-Packard Carly Fiorina, U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (SC), Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former New York Gov. George Pataki stand on the stage prior to the Voters First Presidential Forum for Republicans at Saint Anselm College August 3, 2015 in Manchester, New Hampshire. The forum was organized by the New Hampshire Union Leader and C-SPAN in response to the Fox News debate later this week that will limit the candidates to the top 10 Republicans based on nationwide polls. (Photo by Darren McCollester/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum speaks during a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
Republican presidential candidates John Kasich, left, Ben Carson, third from left, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, Scott Walker, Rick Santorum and Jeb Bush speak among themselves after a forum Monday, Aug. 3, 2015, in Manchester, N.H. Second from left is Saint Anselm College president Steven DiSalvo. (AP Photo/Jim Cole)
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The poll is more evidence that Trump remains the GOP's front-runner. According to a Pew Research Center poll released last week, Trump still leads among almost every group of voters in the Republican party except college graduates and people who report going to church weekly.

The PPP survey discovered similar results, as Trump has the lead among GOP Tea Party and non-Tea Party voters, evangelicals, moderates, "somewhat conservative," "very conservative," men, women, and more.

But the poll also showed signs Trump's support has stalled, and in some cases decreased, while other key metrics have begun to tip against him. The survey found that Trump is now trailing in almost every hypothetical head-to-head matchup with other candidates, and his favorability ratings have plummeted in the last month by 14 net percentage points.

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Meanwhile, other candidates are starting to gain or regain ground.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida), who has run a relatively low-key campaign, has seen his numbers rise following well-received performances at the first two Republican presidential debates. Since the last PPP poll, Rubio's support has virtually doubled nationally. And he remains the second-most liked candidate among Republicans, trailing only Carson.

The poll also displayed that Bush's poll stumbles have tapered off. A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll of New Hampshire primary voters released earlier this week also found a slight bump for the former governor.

On Sunday, Trump said that if his poll numbers declined to a level at which he thought he would no longer win the nomination, he would get out of the race. Since then, however, he has been defiant and reamed into the media's interpretation of those comments.

"I believe in polls. How many elections do you see where the polls were wrong? Not that many," Trump said on NBC's "Meet The Press" on Sunday. "OK. You see them, but not that many. If I were doing poorly, if I saw myself going down, if you would stop calling me 'cause you no longer have any interest in Trump because 'he has no chance,' I'd go back to my business. I have no problem with that."

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See pics of Donald Trump's biggest fans:

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Donald Trump's biggest fans
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Donald Trump is still on top — but there are more clear warning signs ahead
BURLINGTON, IA - OCTOBER 21: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets guests after speaking at a campaign rally at Burlington Memorial Auditorium on October 21, 2015 in Burlington, Iowa. Trump leads most polls in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Fourteen-year-old supporters Kaylie Kilpatrick (C) and her friend James Hanna (L) pose dress like Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a campaign rally in Sumter, South Carolina, February 17, 2016. / AFP / JIM WATSON (Photo credit should read JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images)
MOBILE, AL- AUGUST 21: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets supporters after his rally at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on August 21, 2015 in Mobile, Alabama. The Trump campaign moved tonight's rally to a larger stadium to accommodate demand. (Photo by Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images)
Audience members cheer as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump signs autographs at a campaign event Sunday, Feb. 21, 2016, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
Patrolman James Pittman poses for a selfie with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a campaign stop at police headquarters in Manchester, N.H., Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
A man with a wig dressed like Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump takes a photo of himself before Trump arrives at a campaign event in Tampa, Fla., Monday, March 14, 2016. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
A member of the audience cheers as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Valdosta State University in Valdosta, Ga., Monday, Feb. 29, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
TOPSHOT - A protester (C) is surrounded by Trump supporters as he tries to disrupt a rally for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump on March 13, 2016 in Boca Raton, Florida. Primary voters head to the polls on March 15th in Florida. / AFP / RHONA WISE (Photo credit should read RHONA WISE/AFP/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump gets a fist bump from supporters during a rally at Radford University in Radford, Va., Monday, Feb. 29, 2016. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)
MYRTLE BEACH, SC - FEBRUARY 19: Supporters wait for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump to speak at a rally February 19, 2016 in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Trump is campaigning throughout South Carolina ahead of the state's primary. (Photo by Aaron P. Bernstein/Getty Images)
Liberty University students, Austin Miller, of Salisbury N.C., left, James Ford, of Elkton Md., second from left, Jeremy Boyd, of New York City, center, Josian O'Boyle, of Toronto Canada, second from right, and Cody Hildebrand, of Fayetteville W.Va., pose for photos with their home made t-shirts as they wait for a speech by Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump at Liberty University in Lynchburg, Va., Monday, Jan. 18, 2016. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump holds up a child he pulled from the crowd as he arrives to speak at a campaign rally in New Orleans, Friday, March 4, 2016. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump rubs the shoulders of Alex Stypik, as Stypik shows off his T-shirt during a rally Sunday, March 13, 2016, in Bloomington, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a campaign rally, Friday, Dec. 11, 2015, in Des Moines, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump attracts autograph seekers during a rally at the Mississippi Coast Coliseum in Biloxi, Miss., on Saturday, Jan. 2, 2016. (John Fitzhugh/Biloxi Sun Herald/TNS via Getty Images)
RICHMOND, VA - OCTOBER 14: Thousands of people line up at the Richmond International Raceway to get into a political rally with presidential candidate and Republican front-runner Donald Trump October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. A New York real estate mogul and reality television star, Trump is now in a statistical tie with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in a Fox News survey of likely Republican voters released Tuesday. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump holds up a cap that he signed for a supporter during a rally at the Expo Hall of the Richmond International Raceway on October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. AFP PHOTO/MANDEL NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)
LOWELL, MA - JANUARY 4: Robin Roy reacts to Republican candidate for President Donald Trump meeting spectators after a rally in Lowell, Massachusetts on Monday evening January 4, 2016. (Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Shane Hague waits for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump to speak at a campaign stop, Saturday, Jan. 16, 2016, in Portsmouth, N.H. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Supporters hold up campaign signs, and a Trump coloring book, prior to an address by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a campaign stop at the Tsongas Center in Lowell, Mass., Monday, Jan. 4, 2016. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
RICHMOND, VA - OCTOBER 14: Supporters cheer as presidential candidate and Republican front-runner Donald Trump takes the stage during a campaign rally at the Richmond International Raceway October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. A New York real estate mogul and reality television star, Trump is now in a statistical tie with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in a Fox News survey of likely Republican voters released Tuesday. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Supporters react as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally, Saturday, Dec. 5, 2015, in Davenport, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BILOXI, MS - JANUARY 02: Supporters of the Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump try to get autographs after his appearance at the Mississippi Coast Coliseum on January 2, 2016 in Biloxi, Mississippi. Trump, who has strong support from Southern voters, spoke to thousands in the small Mississippi city on the Gulf of Mexico. Trump continues to split the GOP establishment with his populist and controversial views on immigration, muslims and some of his recent comments on women. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
NORFOLK, VA - OCTOBER 31: Donald Trump supporters cheer for the Republican presidential while he speaks at a rally in front of the USS Wisconsin on October 31, 2015 in Norfolk, Virginia. . With just 93 days before the Iowa caucuses Republican hopefuls are trying to shore up support amongst the party. (Photo by Sara D. Davis/Getty Images)
NORTH CHARLESTON, SC - SEPTEMBER 23: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks before the Greater Charleston Business Alliance, which supports minority businesses and is affiliated with the South Carolina African American Chamber of Commerce on September 23, 2015 in North Charleston, South Carolina. The candidate shook hands and signed autographs after the event. (Photos by Charles Ommanney/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Holly Griffin, 8, of Atlanta, wears a hat in support of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump while waiting for Trump to arrive for a campaign rally at Dorton Arena in Raleigh, N.C., Friday, Dec. 4, 2015. (AP Photo/Ted Richardson)
NORFOLK, VA - OCTOBER 31: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump motions to the media at a rally in front of the USS Wisconsin on October 31, 2015 in Norfolk, Virginia. . With just 93 days before the Iowa caucuses Republican hopefuls are trying to shore up support amongst the party. (Photo by Sara D. Davis/Getty Images)
LAS VEGAS, NV - OCTOBER 08: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump invites Myriam Witcher 35 on the stage during a campaign rally at the Treasure Island Hotel & Casino on October 8, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada (Photo by Isaac Brekken/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump poses for a photo with Iowa State fans before an NCAA college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, Saturday, Sept. 12, 2015, in Ames, Iowa. (Rodney White/The Des Moines Register via AP) 
BOULDER, CO - OCTOBER 28: Andy Dean, a spin room surrogate for Donald Trump, wears a hat with Trumps signature outside the spin room before Republican Presidential Debate Your Money, Your Vote sponsored by CNBC at the University of Colorado in Boulder, October 28, 2015. The event will be moderated by network anchors Carl Quintanilla and Becky Quick and chief Washington correspondent John Harwood. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump wave banners during a rally at the Expo Hall of the Richmond International Raceway on October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. AFP PHOTO/MANDEL NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)
Trump supporters hold up a sign reading 'We Are The 68%' before Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump's rally, December 14, 2015 at the Westgate Hotel & Resort in Las Vegas, Nevada. A recent USA Today poll shows 68% of Trump supporters would follow him if he left the GOP to make a third party run for the presidency. Trump will face off with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and six other main stage candidates at tomorrow's GOP debate, hosted by CNN. AFP PHOTO / ROBYN BECK / AFP / ROBYN BECK (Photo credit should read ROBYN BECK/AFP/Getty Images)
RICHMOND, VA - OCTOBER 14: Charlotte Browning (C) and Lois Lang (2nd R) bought wigs to look like their favorite candidate, Republican front-runner Donald Trump, while lining up with thousands of others for a campaign rally at the Richmond International Raceway October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. A New York real estate mogul and reality television star, Trump is now in a statistical tie with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in a Fox News survey of likely Republican voters released Tuesday. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, center, stops to take a photograph with Jim Tranz, of Port Charlotte, Fla., as he walks with a crowd during the final round of play at The Barclays golf tournament Sunday, Aug. 30, 2015, in Edison, N.J. (AP Photo/Mel Evans)
NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 28: A supporter of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump listens to Trump give a speech outlining his vision for tax reform at his skyscraper on Fifth Avenue on September 28, 2015 in New York City. Under the plan there would be four tax categories, with people earning less than $25,000 per year paying 0% tax. (Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images)
BURLINGTON, IA - OCTOBER 21: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets guests after speaking at a campaign rally at Burlington Memorial Auditorium on October 21, 2015 in Burlington, Iowa. Trump leads most polls in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
The crowd cheers when Republican presidential candidate businessman Donald Trump speaks during a campaign pep rally, Friday, Aug. 21, 2015, in Mobile, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
A woman shows excitement when meeting Republican presidential candidate businessman Donald Trump during a campaign pep rally, Friday, Aug. 21, 2015, in Mobile, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
A supporter for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump listens during a campaign rally, Saturday, Dec. 5, 2015, in Davenport, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
Laci Lamb, 6, of Lucedale, Miss., looks at a sign before Republican presidential candidate businessman Donald Trump speaks at a campaign pep rally, Friday, Aug. 21, 2015, in Mobile, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
Supporters Kathleen Hastings, left, and Elizabeth Musngi, right, cheers Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as he speaks during a campaign rally held at the North Atlanta Trade Center, Saturday, Oct., 10, 2015, in Norcross, Ga. (AP Photo/John Amis)
Tammy Pickett is illuminated by her cell phone as she listens to a speech by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump at the National Federation of Republican Assemblies on Saturday, Aug. 29, 2015, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
A young girl listens as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump delivers his message during a campaign rally at the state fair in Oklahoma City, Friday, Sept. 25, 2015. (AP Photo/J Pat Carter)
Supporters cheer Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a campaign rally held at the North Atlanta Trade Center, Saturday, Oct., 10, 2015, in Norcross, Ga. (AP Photo/John Amis)
MOBILE, AL- AUGUST 21: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets supporters after his rally at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on August 21, 2015 in Mobile, Alabama. The Trump campaign moved tonight's rally to a larger stadium to accommodate demand. (Photo by Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets supporters after speaking at a campaign rally, Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2015, in Mesa, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
Ruth Hindal, left, shows Ann Thomas, both of Des Moines, Iowa, a shirt for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump before his arrival at a rally, Tuesday, June 16, 2015, in Des Moines, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump listen to him speak before a crowd of 3,500 Saturday, July 11, 2015, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
RICHMOND, VA - OCTOBER 14: A young woman wears a Donald Trump t-shirt as thousands of people line up at the Richmond International Raceway to get into a political rally with presidential candidate and Republican front-runner Donald Trump October 14, 2015 in Richmond, Virginia. A New York real estate mogul and reality television star, Trump is now in a statistical tie with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson in a Fox News survey of likely Republican voters released Tuesday. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
US Republican Presidential hopeful Donald Trump greets supporters as he arrives to speak during a Tea Party rally against the international nuclear agreement with Iran outside the US Capitol in Washington, DC, September 9, 2015. AFP PHOTO / SAUL LOEB (Photo credit should read SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images)
LAS VEGAS, NV - DECEMBER 14: A supporter of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump waits for the start of a campaign rally at the Westgate Las Vegas Resort & Casino on December 14, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Donlad Trump is campaigning in Las Vegas a day ahead of the final GOP debate. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
Attendees try to take a photograph of Donald Trump, president and chief executive of Trump Organization Inc. and 2016 Republican presidential candidate, red cap, at the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines, Iowa, U.S., on Saturday, Aug. 15, 2015. Billionaire Republican 2016 contender Donald Trump said this week unlike rivals such as Jeb Bush, he wouldn't be beholden to big-money campaign donors if elected president. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
GRAND RAPIDS, MI - DECEMBER 21: Jeanne Contanch (L) and Shelly Kumfer wait for the start of a campaign event with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump on December 21, 2015 in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Trump continues to lead the most polls in the race for the Republican nomination for president. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, AZ - JULY 11: Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses supporters during a political rally at the Phoenix Convention Center on July 11, 2015 in Phoenix, Arizona. Trump spoke about illegal immigration and other topics in front of an estimated crowd of 4,200. (Photo by Charlie Leight/Getty Images)
Supporters reach to great Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump as he leaves a brief stop to speak to supporters and the media in Laredo, Texas, Thursday, July 23, 2015. Trump predicted Hispanics would love him, because as president he said he'd grab jobs back from overseas and give more opportunity to those who live in the U.S. legally. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump whispers to James âCooperâ Skinner, 9, of Woodbridge, Va., while he lifts hi up to the microphone to ask a question during a campaign rally at the Prince William County Fair Ground in Manassas, Va., Wednesday, Dec. 2, 2015. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Donald Trump, president and chief executive officer of Trump Organization Inc. and 2016 Republican presidential candidate, takes a selfie photograph with guests after an interview on Bloomberg Television's 'With All Due Respect' in the lobby of the Trump Tower in New York, U.S., on Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015. Trump said that he agrees the carried interest tax 'loophole' should be eliminated and that it is 'tremendous burden' on country's finances. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump cheer during a campaign rally Saturday, Nov. 28, 2015 at Robarts Arena in Sarasota, Fla. Speaking before thousands who jammed into the arena, Trump said he's "killing everybody" in polls nationally and in early voting states. (AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
Attendee Lucy Weatherwax Chalmers from Palm Springs, California, places her hand over her heart during the Pledge of Allegiance at a Tea Party Patriots rally against the Iran nuclear deal on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2015. A revolt among U.S. House Republicans delayed action on the Iran nuclear deal today as some members insisted they aren't bound by a Sept. 17 deadline in their efforts to kill the agreement. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump waves to the crowd during a campaign pep rally, Friday, Aug. 21, 2015, in Mobile, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
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