Potential outcomes of Group G, all four teams left with one game to play

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What Are Team USA's Chances Of Advancing In The World Cup?


The United States and Germany both have four points and are atop Group G over Ghana and Portugal who have one point each. In the group stage of the World Cup, wins are worth three points, and draws are worth one point. All four teams have one game remaining.

Germany and the U.S. will play Thursday in Recife, and Ghana and Portugal will kick off at the same time in Brasilia.

Here are the scenarios:

-If the U.S. wins: The Americans are through to the next round as the winners of Group G and will play the second place team from Group H. (Belgium currently leads Group H, followed by Algeria, Russia and South Korea)

Germany would finish second unless Ghana or Portugal won and passed Germany on goal differential. Germany currently is plus 4, Ghana is minus 1 and Portugal is minus 4. The second place finisher plays the winner of Group H.

-If Germany wins: Germany wins the group.

The U.S. would finish second unless Ghana or Portugal won and passed the U.S. on goal differential. The U.S. is plus 1, Ghana is minus 1 and Portugal is minus 4. So, if the U.S. loses to Germany, it will be rooting for Portugal, because it's less likely that Portugal could pass the U.S. on goal differential.

-If Germany and the U.S. draw: Germany wins the group and the U.S. finishes second. The result of the other game is meaningless.

-If Ghana and Portugal draw: The U.S. and Germany advance. Germany wins the group unless the U.S. defeats them.

-Other tiebreakers: In any of these scenarios involving goal differential, if two teams are tied on points and goal differential, the next tiebreaker is total goals scored. Germany has six goals, the U.S. has four, Ghana has there and Portugal has two.

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Potential outcomes of Group G, all four teams left with one game to play
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo heads the ball during a Group G football match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo credit should read FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (2R) jumps for the ball during a Group G football match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo credit should read FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP/Getty Images)
US midfielder Graham Zusi (R) and US defender Fabian Johnson (L) defend against Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (2nd R) during a Group G match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / RAPHAEL ALVES (Photo credit should read RAPHAEL ALVES/AFP/Getty Images)
MANAUS, BRAZIL - JUNE 22: Cristiano Ronaldo of Portugal looks on during the 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil Group G match between the United States and Portugal at Arena Amazonia on June 22, 2014 in Manaus, Brazil. (Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images)
MANAUS, BRAZIL - JUNE 22: Cristiano Ronaldo of Portugal reacts after the 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil Group G match between USA and Portugal at Arena Amazonia on June 22, 2014 in Manaus, Brazil. (Photo by Stuart Franklin - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo is pictured during a Group G match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / RAPHAEL ALVES (Photo credit should read RAPHAEL ALVES/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (C) vies with US midfielder Jermaine Jones (L) and US midfielder Alejandro Bedoya (R) during a Group G football match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo credit should read FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (2nd R) chases the ball during a Group G match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / RAPHAEL ALVES (Photo credit should read RAPHAEL ALVES/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (R) vies with US midfielder Alejandro Bedoya (L) during a Group G football match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo credit should read FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo challenges US defender Matt Besler during a Group G match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / FRANCISCO LEONG (Photo credit should read FRANCISCO LEONG/AFP/Getty Images)
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (R) cools himself during a break in the first half in a Group G football match between USA and Portugal at the Amazonia Arena in Manaus during the 2014 FIFA World Cup on June 22, 2014. AFP PHOTO / ODD ANDERSEN (Photo credit should read ODD ANDERSEN/AFP/Getty Images)
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