Dissecting Debt at Two Companies

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Debt can be either toxic or helpful. There is nothing wrong with using leverage to improve returns, so long as this leverage is sustainable. Foolish investors should avoid investing in companies with lots of debt, as they can be very dangerous. However, if a company's debt is sustainable, and it has only borrowed heavily to increase returns, then investors can rest easy.

So here I am going to dissect the debt piles of two companies to see how sustainable they are and whether investors should be concerned.


This company will have to cut payouts to its investors
Colgate-Palmolive
is always thought of as relatively defensive. However, in my opinion the company's debt pile raises some flags.

For a start, the company's debt has expanded 16% since the second quarter of last year. Secondly, the company has $1.7 billion of debt maturing before 2016, which the company cannot currently cover with only $1 billion in cash on the balance sheet. Moreover, it does not look as if this cash balance will grow any more: While Colgate generated $1.4 billion per quarter in free cash flow for the last four quarter, it spent $3 billion per quarter on dividends and stock buybacks.

Total debt

$5.6 billion

Net debt

$4.6 billion

Net debt to equity

3.1

Net debt to EBITDA

1.1

Largest debt Issue

$1 billion

Average maturity

2020

Average interest rate

4%

Interest expense 2012

$80 million

Interest cover 2012 by EBITDA

55

Source: Morningstar.

Still, $2 billion of debt is locked in at a rate of less than 2.5% maturing between 2020 and 2023 ,and the company can easily cover its current interest expense. That said, with so much debt issued on short durations, the company is highly exposed to interest rates, which could start to rise before maturity, indicating that Colgate will have to roll the debt at higher interest rates.

All in all, Colgate's debt is easily manageable but growing rapidly. Investors might have to get used to lower returns in the medium term as the company is forced to borrow less and save more.

A tech company with trouble brewing
It would appear that trouble is brewing debt-wise at Windstream , whose debt is currently almost manageable, standing at four times EBITDA with interest costs covered 3.6 times during the second quarter.

Total debt

$9 billion

Net debt

$9 billion

Net debt to equity

9

Net debt to EBITDA

4

Largest debt issue

$1.1 billion

Average maturity

2020

Average interest rate

7.5%

Interest expense Q2 2013

$153 million

Interest cover Q2 2013 by EBITDA

3.6

That said, the company has $2.2 billion in debt maturing in 2017 with a current coupon of 7.9% -- this means the company is highly exposed to changes in the base rate over the short term. In addition, debt has expanded 73% since 2009, and operating cash flow is highly unpredictable, swinging between $300 million and $530 million over the last four quarters alone -- the company had a negative free cash flow for the last three quarters out of four.

Moreover, cash and equivalents were only $50 million at the end of Q1, but the company has $800 million in debt maturing within the next 12 months -- not a good situation.

Overall, Windstream is able to cover its debt currently, but the company is heading toward trouble as cash flow remains erratic, debt rises, and interest rates are set to increase.

These companies are in difficult positions. Colgate will be able to sustain its debt, but only if it cuts payouts to investors. Windstream is somewhat unpredictable, and debt is rising rapidly.

One thing is for certain: The future is uncertain for Windstream, and that's not good for investors.

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The article Dissecting Debt at Two Companies originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is this post wrong? Click here. Think you can do better? Join us and write your own!

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