Falling Consumer Sentiment and Commodity Prices Bring a Few Stocks Lower

Before you go, we thought you'd like these...
Before you go close icon

This morning, the Thomson Reuter/University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment report came in much lower than market participants were expecting. The index's reading thus far for April came in at 72.3, which represents the lowest reading over the past nine months. Economists had estimated a reading of 78.5, after the index hit 78.6 in March. 

This news, as well as a report indicating that retail sales also fell last month, sent the markets moving lower today. The S&P 500 was the worst-performing index, as it declined by 0.28%. The Nasdaq fared slightly better, only losing 0.16% of its value, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average nearly broke even, losing just 0.08 points, or essentially 0.00%.

In addition to stocks moving lower, commodities also fell today. My colleague Travis Hoium touched on why gold may have dropped today, after the precious metal lost more than 4% this afternoon.

Light Crude also lost today, as the price per barrel fell 2.37%. This is likely one reason why shares of Dow components Chevron and ExxonMobil ended the session lower. Chevron fell 0.84%, while Exxon fared slightly better, only losing 0.26% of its value.

Chevron may have declined more due to the stock's recent run-up. Shares hit a high this week at $121.15, after an analyst at Morgan Stanley put a new price target of $135 per share on the stock. Despite today's pullback, shares still managed to gain more than 2% during the week, and have risen 10.91% since the beginning of 2013.  

The other factor weighing on both Chevron and Exxon today was the poor consumer sentiment report. One common result from declining confidence is less demand for gasoline, as American's tighten their belts and drive less. Not only did the price per barrel of crude fall today, but the per gallon price of unleaded gasoline dropped by 1%. When the oil companies realize a lower price for goods sold, lower revenue and profits usually follow. Mix lower expected profits with a recent run-up in share price, and it's easy to see why there were more investors selling Chevron than buying shares today.

Alcoa  was also hurt by falling commodity prices. While the aluminum manufacturer saw its share price fall 1.2% today, the price of aluminum fell by 1.19%. Growing concerns that the global economy is slowing, which would likely weaken demand, and a growing supply of the metal, continue to put downward pressure on the per ton price of aluminum. Although the company recently beat earnings estimates, it missed on revenue, which is a sign that the management team is running a tight ship. But, if the price of aluminum continues to decline, there may not be anything management can do to keep the company profitable.

More foolish insight

It may look as if oil will remain low until consumer sentiment increases; but if you believe the price per barrel of oil will once again climb over $100, you must check out  some currently intriguing energy plays, which analysts here at the Fool believe will benefit from high oil prices. Don't wait ... check out The Motley Fool's "3 Stocks for $100 Oil." For FREE access to this special report, simply click here now.

The article Falling Consumer Sentiment and Commodity Prices Bring a Few Stocks Lower originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Matt Thalman has no position in any stocks mentioned. Check back Monday through Friday as Matt explains what caused the Dow's winners and losers of the day, and every Saturday for a weekly recap. Follow Matt on Twitter: @mthalman5513. The Motley Fool recommends Chevron.  Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Read Full Story

Sign up for Finance Report by AOL and get everything from business news to personal finance tips delivered directly to your inbox daily!

Subscribe to our other newsletters

Emails may offer personalized content or ads. Learn more. You may unsubscribe any time.

People are Reading