1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Tootsie Roll?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, confectionery company Tootsie Roll Industries (NYS: TR) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Tootsie Roll and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Tootsie Rollfacts

Headquarters (founded)Chicago (1896)
Market Cap$1.5 billion
IndustryConfectioners
Trailing-12-Month Revenue$537.3 million
ManagementChairman/CEO Melvin Gordon
President/COO Ellen Gordon
Return on Equity (average, past 3 years)7.6%
Cash/Debt$79.4 million / $7.5 million
Dividend Yield1.2%
CompetitorsKraft Foods
Mars, Incorporated
Spangler Candy Company

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 39% of the 51 All-Star members who have rated Tootsie Roll believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Just yesterday, one of those Fools, All-Star joryko, brought Tootsie Roll's seemingly unsustainable valuation to our community's attention:

This is getting a little bit ridiculous isn't it? Tootsie Roll Industries is currently trading at 33x earnings and 22x cash flow and is continuing to trade higher.

For comparison, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYS: CMG) is trading at 35x earnings and 27x cash flow. The main difference between the two however, is that Chipotle burritos are an actual growth story; Tootsie Rolls are not anymore. [Tootsie Roll] has barely managed 2% revenue growth over the last five years while watching its EPS [fall]. Meanwhile Chipotle is pumping out top and bottom line growth of at least 20% each year.

In a very similar case to [Hershey Company] I believe that too much "safe money" has been put on these companies as investors are looking to find recession proof holdings with a nice little dividend yield. At the end of the day however, a little bubble will still pop sooner or later and I believe that is what we are looking at here.

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The article 1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Tootsie Roll? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Chipotle. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Chipotle. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

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